Vance
Tropical Storm East Pacific
Last advisory: octobre 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC ·
9,7°N 101,0°W
Max Sustained Winds
58 mph
Min Central Pressure
997 mb
Movement
ENE 5 mph
Position
9,7°N 101,0°W
Status
Tropical Storm
Storm Track & Forecast Path
Past Track
Forecast Track
Cone of Uncertainty
TD
TS
CAT 1
CAT 3
CAT 4
The cone shows the probable track of the storm center, sized from National Hurricane Center
average track-forecast errors. It does not represent the storm's size or the extent of impacts.
Individual computer-model forecast tracks. Spread between the lines reflects forecast uncertainty.
Satellite Imagery — GOES-18
Intensity Forecast (Wind Speed)
| Time | Lat / Lon | Category | Winds (mph) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 9,7°N / 101,0°W | TS | 58 |
| 10/22 12Z | 9,7°N / 100,9°W | TS | 52 |
| +12h | 10,1°N / 101,5°W | CAT 1 | 75 |
| +24h | 10,7°N / 102,1°W | CAT 1 | 92 |
| +36h | 11,5°N / 102,7°W | CAT 2 | 109 |
| +48h | 12,3°N / 103,2°W | CAT 3 | 121 |
| +72h | 14,4°N / 103,9°W | CAT 2 | 109 |
| +96h | 16,0°N / 104,4°W | CAT 2 | 104 |
| +120h | 17,0°N / 104,7°W | CAT 2 | 98 |
| Historical Track | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Date / Time (UTC) | Lat / Lon | Category | Winds (mph) |
| oct. 22, 12:00 | 9,7°N / 100,9°W | TS | 52 |
| oct. 22, 06:00 | 9,6°N / 101,3°W | TS | 46 |
| oct. 22, 00:00 | 9,5°N / 100,5°W | TS | 40 |
| oct. 21, 18:00 | 9,4°N / 99,6°W | TS | 40 |
| oct. 21, 12:00 | 9,5°N / 99,0°W | TD | 35 |
AI Intensity Outlook
WeatherAI is tracking Vance — currently a Tropical Storm with 58 mph sustained winds, moving ENE at 5 mph. Forecast guidance extends to +120h, with a projected peak intensity of 121 mph.