Vance
Tropical Storm East Pacific
Last advisory: October 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC ·
9.7°N 101.0°W
Max Sustained Winds
58 mph
Min Central Pressure
997 mb
Movement
ENE 5 mph
Position
9.7°N 101.0°W
Status
Tropical Storm
Storm Track & Forecast Path
Past Track
Forecast Track
Cone of Uncertainty
TD
TS
CAT 1
CAT 3
CAT 4
The cone shows the probable track of the storm center, sized from National Hurricane Center
average track-forecast errors. It does not represent the storm's size or the extent of impacts.
Individual computer-model forecast tracks. Spread between the lines reflects forecast uncertainty.
Satellite Imagery — GOES-18
Intensity Forecast (Wind Speed)
| Time | Lat / Lon | Category | Winds (mph) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 9.7°N / 101.0°W | TS | 58 |
| 10/22 12Z | 9.7°N / 100.9°W | TS | 52 |
| +12h | 10.1°N / 101.5°W | CAT 1 | 75 |
| +24h | 10.7°N / 102.1°W | CAT 1 | 92 |
| +36h | 11.5°N / 102.7°W | CAT 2 | 109 |
| +48h | 12.3°N / 103.2°W | CAT 3 | 121 |
| +72h | 14.4°N / 103.9°W | CAT 2 | 109 |
| +96h | 16.0°N / 104.4°W | CAT 2 | 104 |
| +120h | 17.0°N / 104.7°W | CAT 2 | 98 |
| Historical Track | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Date / Time (UTC) | Lat / Lon | Category | Winds (mph) |
| Oct 22, 12:00 | 9.7°N / 100.9°W | TS | 52 |
| Oct 22, 06:00 | 9.6°N / 101.3°W | TS | 46 |
| Oct 22, 00:00 | 9.5°N / 100.5°W | TS | 40 |
| Oct 21, 18:00 | 9.4°N / 99.6°W | TS | 40 |
| Oct 21, 12:00 | 9.5°N / 99.0°W | TD | 35 |
AI Intensity Outlook
WeatherAI is tracking Vance — currently a Tropical Storm with 58 mph sustained winds, moving ENE at 5 mph. Forecast guidance extends to +120h, with a projected peak intensity of 121 mph.