Last advisory: October 11, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC ·
33.9°N 115.4°W
Max Sustained Winds
40 mph
Min Central Pressure
993 mb
Movement
N 39 mph
Position
33.9°N 115.4°W
Status
Potential Tropical Cyclone
Storm Track & Forecast Path
Past TrackForecast TrackCone of UncertaintyTDTSCAT 1CAT 3CAT 4
The cone shows the probable track of the storm center, sized from National Hurricane Center
average track-forecast errors. It does not represent the storm's size or the extent of impacts.
Individual computer-model forecast tracks. Spread between the lines reflects forecast uncertainty.
Satellite Imagery — GOES-18
GOES-18
· Infrared
·
Night
Valid 2026-10-11 11:41 UTC
Intensity Forecast (Wind Speed)
Time
Lat / Lon
Category
Winds (mph)
Now
33.9°N / 115.4°W
TS
40
10/11 06Z
31.8°N / 116.3°W
TS
58
+12h
36.1°N / 115.3°W
TS
40
Historical Track
Date / Time (UTC)
Lat / Lon
Category
Winds (mph)
Oct 11, 06:00
31.8°N / 116.3°W
TS
58
Oct 11, 00:00
28.5°N / 117.0°W
TS
63
Oct 10, 18:00
25.8°N / 118.9°W
TS
63
Oct 10, 12:00
24.7°N / 120.5°W
TS
58
Oct 10, 06:00
24.1°N / 122.2°W
TS
58
Oct 10, 00:00
23.6°N / 123.7°W
TS
46
Oct 9, 18:00
23.0°N / 124.5°W
TS
52
Oct 9, 12:00
22.6°N / 124.9°W
TS
52
Oct 9, 06:00
22.6°N / 125.0°W
TS
52
Oct 9, 00:00
22.5°N / 125.2°W
TS
58
Oct 8, 18:00
22.3°N / 124.5°W
TS
63
Oct 8, 12:00
22.0°N / 124.0°W
TS
69
Oct 8, 06:00
21.6°N / 123.3°W
TS
69
Oct 8, 00:00
21.3°N / 122.6°W
CAT 1
75
Oct 7, 18:00
21.0°N / 122.0°W
CAT 1
81
Oct 7, 12:00
20.7°N / 121.5°W
CAT 1
81
Oct 7, 06:00
20.5°N / 120.9°W
CAT 1
81
Oct 7, 00:00
20.4°N / 120.3°W
CAT 1
81
Oct 6, 18:00
20.4°N / 119.7°W
CAT 1
81
Oct 6, 12:00
20.4°N / 119.1°W
CAT 1
86
Oct 6, 06:00
20.3°N / 118.2°W
CAT 1
92
Oct 6, 00:00
20.4°N / 117.5°W
CAT 1
92
Oct 5, 18:00
20.3°N / 116.7°W
CAT 1
92
Oct 5, 12:00
20.4°N / 115.8°W
CAT 1
86
Oct 5, 06:00
20.4°N / 115.2°W
CAT 1
92
Oct 5, 00:00
20.1°N / 114.5°W
CAT 2
98
Oct 4, 18:00
20.1°N / 114.0°W
CAT 2
104
Oct 4, 12:00
20.2°N / 113.5°W
CAT 2
104
Oct 4, 06:00
20.1°N / 113.0°W
CAT 1
92
Oct 4, 00:00
19.9°N / 112.6°W
CAT 1
86
Oct 3, 18:00
19.7°N / 112.3°W
CAT 1
81
Oct 3, 12:00
19.5°N / 111.9°W
CAT 1
86
Oct 3, 06:00
19.3°N / 111.6°W
CAT 2
98
Oct 3, 00:00
19.3°N / 111.3°W
CAT 2
104
Oct 2, 18:00
19.3°N / 110.9°W
CAT 2
104
Oct 2, 12:00
19.3°N / 110.6°W
CAT 2
109
Oct 2, 06:00
19.4°N / 110.2°W
CAT 3
121
Oct 2, 00:00
19.4°N / 109.6°W
CAT 3
121
Oct 1, 18:00
19.4°N / 109.4°W
CAT 3
115
Oct 1, 12:00
19.5°N / 109.5°W
CAT 2
104
Oct 1, 06:00
19.3°N / 109.1°W
CAT 1
92
Oct 1, 00:00
19.0°N / 108.3°W
CAT 1
86
Sep 30, 18:00
18.4°N / 107.8°W
CAT 1
86
Sep 30, 12:00
17.8°N / 107.7°W
CAT 1
86
Sep 30, 06:00
17.3°N / 106.9°W
CAT 1
81
Sep 30, 00:00
16.6°N / 106.3°W
TS
69
Sep 29, 18:00
15.7°N / 105.4°W
TS
69
Sep 29, 12:00
15.1°N / 104.8°W
TS
63
Sep 29, 06:00
14.5°N / 103.8°W
TS
58
Sep 29, 00:00
14.3°N / 102.5°W
TS
58
Sep 28, 18:00
13.9°N / 101.5°W
TS
52
Sep 28, 12:00
13.6°N / 100.8°W
TS
52
Sep 28, 06:00
13.2°N / 100.0°W
TS
46
Sep 28, 00:00
12.8°N / 99.5°W
TS
40
Sep 27, 18:00
12.7°N / 98.9°W
TS
40
Sep 27, 12:00
12.6°N / 98.4°W
TD
35
Sep 27, 06:00
12.1°N / 98.8°W
TD
35
Storm Vitals
BasinEast Pacific
CategoryTropical Storm
Max Winds40 mph
Gusts~60 mph
Min Pressure993 mb
MovementN at 39 mph
Latitude33.9°N
Longitude115.4°W
AI Intensity Outlook
WeatherAI is tracking Rachel — currently a
Tropical Storm with
40 mph sustained winds, moving N at 39 mph.
Forecast guidance extends to +12h, with a projected peak intensity of 58 mph.